Vol. III · No. 142·MLB Edition
Track Record +6.8% ROI Subscribe Free
Model-Driven Predictions Since 2024
A daily reckoning of the baseball card — and the models behind every number.
Standing of the House
Record
ROI
Net Units
Win Rate

Today's Card

One homer, one double, one
single — and the prop to play each.
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The Ledger

Every play, posted and graded.
No hidden losers.

Cumulative Units · 2026

Closing-line graded. The slope is the whole pitch — flat months and all.

By Category W–L P&L
Home Runs
Doubles
Singles
Season

From the Notebook

On building models — what works,
and what only looks like it does.
No notebook articles yet — check back soon.